Tesla generated $95 billion of revenue in 2025 after a 2.9% decline, reflecting EV price pressure and slower unit growth following several years of rapid expansion. This reset leaves investors weighing a $411 share price and a 189 times earnings multiple against declining near-term profitability and an execution roadmap that extends value realization beyond the next 2 years. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) designs and sells electric vehicles and energy systems globally, generating revenue across autos, software upgrades, charging services, and energy storage at a scale of $95 billion in 2025. Evaluate whether Tesla stock’s pivot toward autonomy and humanoid robotics meaningfully reshapes its long-term earnings power by running Tesla’s valuation scenarios on TIKR for free →

Best Crypto Exchange for Intermediate Traders and Investors While it is unlikely Tesla would get involved in the consolidation, as it would mean a rollup of a public and a private company, despite the rampant speculation, it does reduce the administrative load. Tesla’s hoped-for future core business – artificial intelligence – is also witnessing an industry-wide deterioration in early 2026.

However, staying informed about industry trends, regulatory changes, and Tesla’s financial performance will be essential for making informed investment decisions. As these facilities achieve full production capacity, Tesla’s revenue generation and market penetration will likely increase. Capital expenditures on Gigafactories and energy storage facilities add to Tesla’s debt levels, requiring the company to focus on cost-efficient production. Over the past two years, Tesla’s stock price has shown significant fluctuations, reflecting both market sentiment and the company’s operational challenges. This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

• That’s why Musk believes they could outnumber humans by 2040.
• Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets.
• A 42.9% annualized return exceeds a typical 10% equity hurdle by a wide margin, compensating for Tesla’s elevated capital intensity, margin volatility, and execution risk tied to autonomy and robotics investment cycles.
• Right from the get-go, recent EV industry and AI sector developments paint Tesla stock as a ‘Hold’ at best.

Future Return On Equity

Tesla’s energy storage products, including the Powerwall and Megapack, provide additional revenue sources beyond vehicle sales. Tesla’s stock remains a compelling investment, driven by its innovation and market influence. Factors such as production targets, sales growth, and any updates on its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology will influence Tesla’s earnings potential. The latest earnings are scheduled for January 2025, when investors anticipate Tesla to reveal its quarterly performance and provide guidance on future earnings. The "Earnings" chart reflects gradual growth, with key earnings dates providing insights into the company’s profitability trends. While revenue has surged, net income levels haven’t shown a proportionate increase, with margins reflecting the cost-intensive nature of the EV industry.

• It will run on Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, enabling it to haul passengers and even small commercial loads 24 hours per day, seven days per week.
• If Tesla achieves a stable production rate and meets delivery targets, it can maintain its position as a leading EV manufacturer.
• To gain a panoramic view of Tesla’s market performance, explore these analyst evaluations alongside essential financial indicators.
• Anthony Di Pizio has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.
• 39 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report.

Robotaxis, Ai, And Broken Promises: Is Tesla Still Worth The Hype In 2025

• With a reputation for innovation and a bold vision for sustainable energy, Tesla’s stock has experienced both rapid growth and notable fluctuations.
• The average analyst rating for Tesla stock is "Hold".
• The standing of Tesla among financial experts becomes clear with a thorough analysis of recent analyst actions.
• Tesla’s earnings plunged by 47% to just $1.08 per share during 2025, placing its stock at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 396.
• We create our content based on TIKR Terminal’s investment data and analysts’ estimates.

Humanoid robots could perform many of the most tedious or even dangerous tasks that most humans don’t want to do. However, the unsupervised version of FSD still hasn’t received regulatory approval anywhere in the U.S., and Tesla needs to clear that hurdle before the Cybercab can actually hit the road. It will run on Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, enabling it to haul passengers and even small commercial loads 24 hours per day, seven days per week. Tesla’s EV sales are likely to decline even further in 2026. BYD sells its entry-level Dolphin Surf EV for just $26,900 across Europe, whereas Tesla’s Model 3 starts at over $40,000. Converting all of this new information into a clear investment decision isn’t easy, so let’s break down the good news and the bad.

• Evaluate whether Tesla stock’s pivot toward autonomy and humanoid robotics meaningfully reshapes its long-term earnings power by running Tesla’s valuation scenarios on TIKR for free →
• According to 33 analysts, the average rating for TSLA stock is "Hold." The 12-month stock price target is $393.65, which is a decrease of -6.25% from the latest price.
• Humanoid robots could perform many of the most tedious or even dangerous tasks that most humans don’t want to do.
• Specifically, diminishing margins and a slowdown in the still very real growth showcased in the latest big tech earnings reports appear to have meshed poorly with the long-standing fears about an AI bubble.

Wall Street Analysts Set Tesla Stock Price Target For 2026

• Save

Specifically, diminishing margins and a slowdown in the still very real growth showcased in the latest big tech earnings reports appear to have meshed poorly with the long-standing fears about an AI bubble. Ultimately, between the bearish developments and bullish promises, deciding if Tesla stock is a ‘Buy,’ ‘Sell,’ or ‘Hold’ in 2026 can be difficult, and Finbold examined the situation in detail to find the answer. The adverse business side news has, however, not dissuaded TSLA bulls, nor prevented Elon Musk from continuing to tout his electric vehicle (EV) maker’s long-discussed pivot into a proper artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics company. Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github. Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report.

Whether or not Tesla is a good investment right now will depend on your investment time frame and risk appetite. Multiple factors could negatively impact the bullish case for Tesla – some of which are impacting other companies but not necessarily the automotive industry in general. Different analyst forecasts (but many analysts based their forecasts on how well the new products will be delivered/produced & improvement in margins). The time it takes to market, the performance of their technology in real-world scenarios, and the degree to which the public embraces (and uses) them will all heavily impact whether or not this optionality contributes any meaningful value to Tesla shares. Tesla has developed Gigafactories across North America, Europe, and China, that provide volume and scale needed for effective supply chains.

This Historic Indicator Just Flagged Bitcoin’s Price Bottom

As of 30 June, 2024, the company achieved a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 2.3%. To gain a panoramic view of Tesla’s market performance, explore these analyst evaluations alongside essential financial indicators. The summary below outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. The potential evolution towards high margin, recurring service-based (software and services) revenue streams has been a key component of several bullish price predictions for Tesla stock; this would create a major differentiation for Tesla compared to traditional automakers and EV startups. The company has a diversified model mix, including a mixture of Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model X vehicles, which appeal to a broad market base. Tesla’s investment thesis revolves around the company’s ability to continue to grow profitably in a challenging environment, with pressure from price and increased competition.

Company

• For those investors that can overlook short-term fluctuations in the price of Tesla share’s stock, Tesla represents a high risk/high potential growth investment moving forward through 2026+.
• See what 2603 others think this stock is worth.
• While it is unlikely Tesla would get involved in the consolidation, as it would mean a rollup of a public and a private company, despite the rampant speculation, it does reduce the administrative load.
• TSLA’s hefty, multi-year capex guidance underscores its cash-heavy, infrastructure business, with it lending uncertainty to its euphoric stock prices/valuations.

Tesla’s investment thesis centers on profitable expansion and diverse models, supported by global Gigafactories and favorable margins from software integration. Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube. See what 2603 others think this stock is worth. Learn why Tesla, Palantir, and SMCI require different trading tactics in the current market. The financial world is buzzing with a radical theory regarding the future of Elon Musk’s empire.

Transparency Is Our Policy Learn How It Impacts Everything We Do

• Save

Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets. With an impressive ROA of 1.33%, the company showcases effective utilization of assets. With an impressive ROE of 2.26%, the company showcases effective utilization of equity capital. With a remarkable net margin of 5.8%, the company showcases Everestex review strong profitability and effective cost management.

How Much Upside Does Tesla Stock Have From Here?

Elon Musk believes autonomous cars are the future of the mobility industry, so he has resisted calls to invest Tesla’s resources into designing a low-cost passenger EV to compete with brands like BYD. Musk provided updates on the production timeline for Tesla’s autonomous robotaxi, the Cybercab, and announced that the company will discontinue two of its most popular passenger EVs to free up manufacturing capacity for its humanoid robot, Optimus. CEO Elon Musk’s conference call with investors was the highlight, because although the company had suffered a decline in electric vehicle (EV) sales, he talked about what the overall business could look like in the future. Analysts usually derive their information from company conference calls and meetings, financial statements, and conversations with important insiders to reach their decisions.